I’ve been brought numerous things more than 22 years in this business yet I’ve NEVER been known as a BCS master. Truth be told, exactly who might WANT to be known as one? That being said, we’re left with the BCS deciding school football’s public title game matchup and the vast majority are a little anxious nowadays, as nearly EVERYONE is expecting a Texas/USC or USC/Texas (however you like) standoff in the current year’s Rose Bowl.
The primary BCS standings were delivered on October 17 and there were bits of hearsay that while USC would be No. 1, agreement No. 2 in the surveys Texas, could wind up behind Va Tech in the standings. Those apprehensions were unwarranted, as USC and Texas were a strong one-two in the primary BCS standings. I stop here briefly to remind everybody that since the BCS’ origin in 1998, the two groups positioned first and second in the underlying standings of the year, have NEVER met in the BCS’ season-finishing title game!
Proceeding onward, the second BCS standings were delivered this previous Monday. In fairly an amazement, USC tumbled to No. 2 with Texas climbing to the main spot. The edge of .0007, was the nearest ever between the first two spots in quite a while history. USC possesses the country’s longest series of wins at 29 games (Texas has the second-best streak at only 14!), has been positioned No. 1 in the AP survey for 26 successive surveys (an unequaled record) and is the double cross protecting public hero however now ends up at No. 2!
For USC fans, it’s not as terrible as is sounds. USC is serenely in front of No. 3 Va Tech and recollect, No. 2 is similarly as great as No. 1 in this ‘game’, as the two of them advance to the Rose Bowl. All things considered, Texas, which has not any more positioned groups on its excess timetable, is in more serious peril of dropping out of one the main two spots than USC. The Trojans actually have Cal (No. 23 in the BCS), Fresno State (unranked in the BCS however 22nd in the AP and 24 in the mentors’ survey) and UCLA (No. 9 in the BCS) on their timetable.
Presently, Va Tech is in the “feared” No. 3 spot (see USC in 2003 and Auburn in 2004). Notwithstanding, the Hokies play Boston College (BCS No. 12) Thursday night in addition to in any case have Miami-Fl (No. 8 in the BCS) and a possible ACC title-game confrontation on tap with Florida State on December 3 (No. 11 in the BCS), to help their PC rankings. Right now, there are SIX unbeatens staying in school football and it’s conceivable that the year could end with upwards of four.
Either USC or UCLA needs to lose when those groups meet on December 3 and expecting Georgia and Alabama were to stay unbeaten through the finish of the standard season, the Bulldogs and Crimson Tide would meet in the SEC title game, dropping either from the positions of the unbeaten.
Talking about unbeatens, Alabama, Georgia, Texas, UCLA, USC and Va Tech are each of the 7-0. Be that as it may, just Texas is an ideal 7-0 ATS. ซานโตรินี่ The groups consolidated ATS mark is 26-16, or 61.9 percent. At the opposite finish of the range, FOUR Division I-A schools enter this present end of the week’s activity winless. The rundown incorporates Buffalo (0-7), New Mexico State (0-7), Rice (0-6) and Temple (0-8). Of those four, just Rice, at 0-6 ATS, is additionally winless against the focuses! The joined ATS sign of the four winless schools is 11-17 or 39.3 percent.
Here’s an intriguing truth. You have frequently heard me and others allude to the pointspread as the “incredible equalizer.” Here’s the reason? The six unbeatens normally have a triumphant level of 1.000 and the four winless groups normally are at .000. Nonetheless, you’ll notice that when you analyze the two gatherings’ SU winning rate versus their ATS rates, this is what you get. The unbeatens’ ATS rate is .619, a distinction of .381. With respect to the winless groups. the contrast between their SU and ATS winning rate is .393. Pretty darn close!
Prior to leaving this conversation of unbeatens and winless groups, I’d be neglectful in the event that I didn’t specify both Duke and Purdue (despite the fact that I’m certain those schools would prefer I didn’t!). While Texas is the country’s ONLY wonderful ATS school, Rice isn’t the country’s just winless ATS school. Joining the Owls are Duke and Purdue. The Blue Devils are 1-7 SU yet 0-7 ATS, beating just VMI in a non-lined game. With respect to the Boilermakers, they are 2-5 SU yet 0-7 ATS, as they won yet didn’t cover against Akron and Arizona to open the, prior year losing their last five games both SU and ATS!
How are those new lead trainers getting along?
In one of may numerous preseason articles, I referenced that 23 of the country’s 119 Division I-A schools (right around 20%!) would open the 2005 season with an alternate lead trainer than they had gotten done with in 2004. Are the greater part of the schools better for the change? I will not sit around idly posting each school’s individual record yet sequentially from BYU to Western Michigan, the 23 schools that changed lead trainers for the long term went an aggregate 114-149 (.433) in 2004 with an ATS record of 117-138-2 (.459). Heading into this current end of the week’s activity, those 23 schools are a joined 70-91 SU (.435) and 66-88-1 ATS (.429).
On the off chance that a tree falls in the woods and there is nobody around to hear it, does it make a sound? While the general numbers are really comparative from a year ago to this year, here are seven schools that have doubtlessly seen a change, either positive or negative.
Skip Holtz has East Carolina at 3-3 SU and 5-1 ATS, after the Pirates went 2-9 SU and 5-6 ATS in 2004 (ECU was a consolidated 3-20 in ’04 and ’03). Hal Mumme brought his alleged “Air Raid” offense to Las Cruces however the Aggies of New Mexico State are averaging simply 14.3 PPG and are 0-7 SU and 2-5 ATS subsequent to going 5 (6-5) in 2004. Mike Gundy took over at Oklahoma State and the Cowboys are 3-4 SU (wins have come over I-AA Montana State, Fla Atlantic and Ark St) and 1-5 ATS, following a 7-5 (7-5) 2004.
Greg Robinson got his first head training position, following 30 years in the business, at Syracuse this year. Notwithstanding, his mid-season report card isn’t acceptable, as the Orange are 1-6 SU and 2-5 ATS in the wake of going 6-6 (8-4) in Paul Pasqualoni’s last year (had 11 winning seasons in 14 years at Syracuse!).Utah set the school football world on its ear in 2004, turning into the first non-BCS gathering school to get a BCS bowl offered and completed 12-0 (10-2 ATS). Notwithstanding, Urban Meyer left for Florida (where he’s a baffling 5-2 SU and 3-4 ATS) with previous DC Kyle Whittingham taking over for the Utes and going only 4-4 and a lamentable 1-7 ATS so far in 2005. Things are gazing upward in Kalamazoo nowadays (have a go at composing that with a straight face!), as Bill Cubit in his first year as a Division I-A lead trainer, has the Broncos 4-3 SU and 2-4 ATS after the school completed 2004 at 1-10 (3-7).
I haven’t overlooked Charlie Weis and Notre Dame, I just left them until last. Weis, with none of his own volunteers, assumed control over an offense that had completed 108th in the country in absolute offense in 2002, 90th in 2003 and 81st in 2004. After seven rounds of the 2005 season, Notre Dame is eighth in absolute offense (492.7 YPG), twelfth in scoring (37.9 PPG) and 5-2 SU (6-1 ATS). In the wake of going 6-6 SU and ATS in 2004 in addition to 5-7 SU (4-8) in 2003, Weis has the Irish positioned ninth in the most recent AP survey, tenth in the most recent mentors’ survey and fifteenth (?) in the most recent BCS standings. He has a QB (Brady Quinn) that is breaking Notre Dame passing records consistently and would be the Heisman leader notwithstanding two people from USC and a QB from Texas named Young. Above all, he has the Irish in line for a BCS bowl bid, in the event that he can win-out.
Out of regard to the Willingham family, I will not make reference to how Notre Dame’s previous lead trainer is doing in Washington. Well actually, I don’t have any acquaintance with him or any one in his family, so what the hell. Willingham has the Huskies 1-6 SU and 2-4 ATS through seven games, with his solitary success coming over an Idaho group which is 1-6. In reasonableness to Ty, he acquired a group that was 1-10 (3-7) in 2004.