NFL Football Intelligence – The Wisdom of 3

No, I’m not discussing the bunching of three big names who appear to relax. I’m alluding to a critical idea that eventually will help you make more keen bets against the wagering line in proficient football. Indeed, on the off chance that you consider this idea alongside your customary week after week picks, you’ll see that via season’s end you will have beaten the spread a few extra occasions. Convincing, wouldn’t you say?

Allude to the 3-segment table beneath that rundowns Point Difference, Frequency and Percent for 2,386 NFL Football match-ups from the year 2000 through 2008. Point Difference alludes to the failure’s score deducted from the champ’s score. Recurrence is the occasions a Point Difference has happened throughout a similar time span. Percent is just the Frequency for a specific Point Difference partitioned by the all out number of games, 2,386. The rundown is requested from most noteworthy to least Percent.

For instance, inside the sixth line under the heading, “Point Difference” you will see the number “14.” Within a similar line, in the segment named “Recurrence,” there is the number “110,” which alludes to the occasions in the course of the last 9 seasons that this Point Difference happened. The last section in a similar column alludes to the percent of the time this has happened, or, 4.6% of the time.

Notice that the most well-known Point Difference between a triumphant and losing group is 3 focuses. Truth be told, this happens an incredible 16% of the time! That is almost 1 out of 6 games, or overall, double every week that this will occur. For what reason is that significant? It implies that you need to shop thoroughly for guide spreads toward ensure you track down a spread that is the most for your potential benefit. เว็บพนันบอลยังไง You should ensure that you never give 3½ focuses, yet consistently attempt to get it. Essentially, you should consistently attempt to give 2½ focuses! Half-point misfortunes happen around the number “3” more than you recall.

Furthermore, remember the Point Difference of 7 focuses, which happens just shy of 10% of the time. Believe it or not – ask, acquire, take and surf the net to get 7½ focuses, and give 6½ focuses. Keep away from giving 7½ focuses at all costs!

As you can see from the table, the half-point differential applies to other Point Differences as well, however it’s not very frequently that you’ll see a spread of 9½ or 10½. In any case, think of it as when accessible. Each rate point makes a difference!

The most ideal approach to misuse this benefit is to get your work done similar to tracking down the right wagering administration to utilize. Wagering lines will vary by district, by day of week, by season of day, and by bookie.

I Repeat: Avoid giving 3½ and 7½ focuses, however take it at whatever point you can. Likewise, attempt to give 2½ and 6½ focuses when accessible. Visit for other related articles.


Contrast Frequency Percent

3              381            16.0

7             228              9.6

10          145               6.1

6            122               5.1

4            113               4.7

14          110              4.6

17           89              3.7

1            88              3.7

2            85              3.6

13          85              3.6

21          75              3.1

8           73               3.1

5           71               3.0

All out 2,386          100.0